NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5d43ebabdbcfee646e4ab5db1f9e5be74681df8bf23ed1f0607a51ca181833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 27,115$13,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,084.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over | 52c | 19,396$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 49c | 14,073$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945.23 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 51c | 10,667$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.67 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 53c | 6,291$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…dd91backed Under | 51c | 5,635$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Over | 52c | 3,798$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 2,152$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…335abacked Over | 49c | 2,035$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…3af8backed Over | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over | 53c | 1,766$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…a7a5backed Over | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,599$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 837.09$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 829.16$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 788.71$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 763.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.53 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…7b20backed Over | 56c | 438.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 359.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 7c | 351.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 349.09$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 49c | 308.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Over | 53c | 259.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 249$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee1…a27cbacked Under | 51c | 218$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…ad65backed Over | 50c | 218$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 209.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 194.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…fa9fbacked Under | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…7046backed Over | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 111.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 48c | 102.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 96.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 59c | 54.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 51.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 49c | 47.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 44.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 51c | 43.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 37.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Under | 48c | 36.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Under | 50c | 32.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 46c | 29.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 24.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…fe79backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. CelticsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luka Garza: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.