TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe56d…2b65backed Under50c15,479$7,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,754633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c4,369$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0732,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.941435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c3,835$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.81,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35c…b645backed Under48c3,417$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.779052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.824235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over52c1,563$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.4890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.954334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.064654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf71…92aebacked Under48c1,230$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c890.41$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.453,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over53c724.53$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5320148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c711.62$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.811070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+74.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf78f…dcedbacked Over53c684.91$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Under5c665.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.515143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Over53c566.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Over53c545.11$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c541$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2559947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over53c490.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.576750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1922357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c408.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1120857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+70.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c364.18$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under70c357.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c332.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab0…e8dabacked Under48c329.83$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c300.01$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c284$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Under48c261.88$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under71c253.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8511929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Under46c219.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.173956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+52%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c200.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.185056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c193.17$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.311,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684060%24 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over54c185.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.282259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d9…2331backed Over53c164.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Over54c146.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under47c144.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6825551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over40c122$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.222638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2119237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c113$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6712944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under54c101.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.79955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ad…8fb2backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under48c83.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.856344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4019153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.97749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over56c67.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over79c65.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.511,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over55c62.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.963658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c57.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9519344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc21f…1c9cbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under57c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.410143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.083237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2418551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1713958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1730842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.