La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x710fb20f66b7079397ef0f04586f1c9be37bc2d697a01222da216d5f1a7099da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarreal CFof Villarreal CF, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 68c | 4,624$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.72 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 59c | 3,298$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.92 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Villarreal CF | 31c | 2,084$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.05 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 1,824$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 1,494$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.86 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 1,425$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 865.25$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 68c | 813.77$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Villarreal CF | 24c | 706$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.56 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 700.49$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 605.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Villarreal CF | 31c | 540$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Villarreal CF | 33c | 435.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Villarreal CF | 31c | 435$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 68c | 333$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Villarreal CF | 75c | 265.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Villarreal CF | 69c | 255.62$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Villarreal CF | 75c | 254.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Villarreal CF | 75c | 254$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Villarreal CF | 70c | 167.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Villarreal CF | 31c | 152$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Villarreal CF | 31c | 129$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Villarreal CF | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Villarreal CF | 31c | 83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Villarreal CF | 70c | 72.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…1858backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 62.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…33a0backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 61.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Villarreal CF | 70c | 53.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Villarreal CF | 71c | 40.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…3630backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9d…1ba2backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0929…b2d5backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7a80backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…0621backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…7550backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Villarreal CF | 75c | 25.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931d…774abacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 23.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…6ab5backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 21.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3e02backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 21.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Villarreal CF | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…5860backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 19.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…1d8ebacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 19.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…6886backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…c9d7backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 18.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…d17cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.