La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e46036bd1be0c07a147bda49930aed349b490e643763a1f83642bce8ccf5cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 13c | 2,451$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.11 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,815$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 50c | 1,792$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.51 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 71c | 1,399$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.46 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…8692backed Under | 56c | 1,064$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 59c | 1,012$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…6783backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 928.77$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 907.03$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.44 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 750.11$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.51 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 60c | 592.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…d33bbacked Over | 16c | 357.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Over | 60c | 289.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 15c | 233.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.28 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 51c | 194.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 15c | 150.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 72c | 139.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 33c | 123.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed Under | 61c | 120.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 75c | 110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Over | 53c | 91.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 65c | 90.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf653…d1d6backed Under | 34c | 89.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Over | 13c | 85.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…839cbacked Under | 64c | 83.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 40c | 78.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 61c | 70.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 36c | 66.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 35c | 40.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 39c | 35.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed Over | 51c | 33.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 45c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Over | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 56c | 28.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 69c | 25.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Under | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 60c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.