TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c13,332$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.524,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over77c7,784$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Over78c5,129$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.322055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under22c3,952$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.8290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over78c3,847$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.344465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c3,576$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.642,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over74c2,686$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.921586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under23c1,845$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.91010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over77c1,645$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.7513845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c1,247$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.733,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under23c978.26$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c753.19$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2712875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over78c576.54$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.25367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over59c506.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.92277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under23c501$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2320449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5af…5d38backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over72c486.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1113070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Over77c454.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under20c453.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under18c444.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over68c314$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3112944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under23c283$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over63c262.63$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.752142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over78c256.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.694463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4111056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under24c246.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c237.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.361,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over77c216.73$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.855100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over71c174.65$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.654768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under31c166.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.671,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over69c166.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6734050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over65c139.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.292948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Over79c133.89$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over77c131.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.172259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over77c130.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d84…7b78backed Over78c128.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.292759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+84%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb4…68c3backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213083.3%25 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2113668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.214082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over64c121.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under23c117$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.912142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over71c114.08$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0817458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over75c101.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.262147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2608…34c1backed Over70c93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under23c91.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over75c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.451361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over75c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…08bcbacked Under20c77.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under23c72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over71c69.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0110761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over79c59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…1822backed Over78c57.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.691369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under30c52.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.874938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1738748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae20…7ec6backed Over78c46.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over78c46.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Over78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1248934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over78c33.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.473577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over78c30.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.773177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over77c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8a…7fd4backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over63c23.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9210155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over77c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.26475%48 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over74c17.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.592286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Over77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Over77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Over77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.