TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbac7…0621

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+48.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$19.46
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.73
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.38
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.54
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.43
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.76
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Ricobacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonbacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.