Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Maine Black Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b612b904367307b7f82dbcce7675559a9078d5a7e9f237a7b1447ead898512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksof Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks, Maine Black Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maine Black Bears | 19c | 3,507$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.02 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maine Black Bears | 41c | 3,426$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 57c | 3,384$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 59c | 2,684$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Maine Black Bears | 26c | 1,831$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.94 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 78c | 750.94$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maine Black Bears | 23c | 671.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maine Black Bears | 25c | 579.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Maine Black Bears | 48c | 530.51$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.65 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maine Black Bears | 34c | 501.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 76c | 499.31$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Maine Black Bears | 32c | 432.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maine Black Bears | 41c | 357.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Maine Black Bears | 41c | 338.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 70c | 324.92$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maine Black Bears | 40c | 310.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maine Black Bears | 48c | 297.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 52c | 249.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Maine Black Bears | 45c | 220.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 59c | 213.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Maine Black Bears | 48c | 199.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…7d2cbacked Maine Black Bears | 42c | 161.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maine Black Bears | 26c | 156.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 43c | 155.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked Maine Black Bears | 42c | 147.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 47c | 123.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Maine Black Bears | 26c | 114.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Maine Black Bears | 49c | 104.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Maine Black Bears | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Maine Black Bears | 22c | 87.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 53c | 60.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…5f1fbacked Maine Black Bears | 48c | 51.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maine Black Bears | 20c | 50.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…f898backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 54c | 47.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…1d4cbacked Maine Black Bears | 47c | 46.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 52c | 42.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…81bcbacked Maine Black Bears | 32c | 37.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 78c | 34.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…dab1backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 67c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maine Black Bears | 47c | 28.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Maine Black Bears | 50c | 26.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…229cbacked Maine Black Bears | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…0621backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 53c | 24.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 66c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Maine Black Bears | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Maine Black Bears | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Maine Black Bears | 51c | 19.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.