Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0275e35d83036f2583843ad3b98d3dce91ae9e93149c92232d8cd7559681a918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş Esportsof Galatasaray Esports, Beşiktaş Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ab4…5c79backed Galatasaray Esports | 45c | 945$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a491backed Beşiktaş Esports | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…9bf6backed Beşiktaş Esports | 55c | 315$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…44cdbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Beşiktaş Esports | 78c | 254.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Galatasaray Esports | 42c | 235.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galatasaray Esports | 19c | 233.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Galatasaray Esports | 16c | 203.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Beşiktaş Esports | 61c | 164.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Galatasaray Esports | 39c | 159.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galatasaray Esports | 19c | 151.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Galatasaray Esports | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 56c | 133.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…5d22backed Beşiktaş Esports | 57c | 124$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…6701backed Galatasaray Esports | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galatasaray Esports | 22c | 123.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Galatasaray Esports | 44c | 114.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Galatasaray Esports | 43c | 112.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Beşiktaş Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Beşiktaş Esports | 58c | 81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Galatasaray Esports | 35c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Galatasaray Esports | 43c | 60.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Galatasaray Esports | 22c | 51.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…4f16backed Galatasaray Esports | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed Beşiktaş Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8913…c216backed Beşiktaş Esports | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Beşiktaş Esports | 69c | 29.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Beşiktaş Esports | 76c | 28.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…ea0bbacked Galatasaray Esports | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…3630backed Beşiktaş Esports | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…0621backed Beşiktaş Esports | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Galatasaray Esports | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 1 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 2 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.