TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,904 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No61c63,430$38,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,690.379748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c21,698$12,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,759.474,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No14c10,835$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.4222859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c8,400$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,412.5790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No64c7,079$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,523.842850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes39c5,814$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,546.3250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c5,200$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes37c4,100$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5898521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9915044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No34c3,999$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.832321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No61c3,611$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.630446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c3,596$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No63c3,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2051020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes64c3,262$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.313345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x625f…9ff6backed Yes67c3,227$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes38c3,000$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8705735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7705742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c2,999$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.681,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c2,666$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.931,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.998457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.999055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No61c2,458$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.7923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes71c2,185$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.257553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No16c1,880$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.411336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c1,797$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.992,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes40c1,750$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c1,732$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.2853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No31c1,555$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.8969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No37c1,346$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.511631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes38c1,049$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.6622335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c1,016$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No59c999.92$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.957953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No59c990.37$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes49c926.82$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.4874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No34c839.57$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c838$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes40c709$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.2830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes41c682.74$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.993850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No60c655$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3932955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No62c642.11$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1118650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes38c636.84$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.846222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37511037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes37c552$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7626550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes39c534$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.2727854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Yes39c484.52$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No15c433.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.883030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No17c424.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1516838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c382.04$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.126035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes40c380.05$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No40c356$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.43435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No62c326.34$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.335754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No60c317$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.210245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes36c280.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.912948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c280.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2710437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No58c269.38$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2421355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.166833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes35c260.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1455058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14bd…1c4cbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No46c246.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.652941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa451…b40dbacked Yes65c234.94$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Yes37c216.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.221844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.137159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.339044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11816342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes65c154.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2312344.7%55 W · 68 L-11.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.76328.6%18 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd691…0c27backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes38c144.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.745453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No23c144$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2415036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Yes40c140$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes40c131.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6220452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987c…9e49backed Yes40c128.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No59c126.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3223947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b3…eb2dbacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755850%29 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Yes40c122.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa761…55dcbacked Yes39c115.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No31c110.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Yes40c103.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.422035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes40c86.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes66c80.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.221361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+53.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No45c77.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.93256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes65c77.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0119652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4528558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No64c75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.