TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes31c41,083$12,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,938.079748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7911…f304backed Yes36c9,141$3,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes30c8,760$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6281030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c5,608$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.064,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6006839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5502560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c3,050$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.391,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c3,000$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.3364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No68c2,802$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.6420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c2,714$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.842,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c2,050$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No69c1,664$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.199055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c1,580$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.3130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed No70c1,580$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4515446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c1,257$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.1590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c1,161$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.4650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c1,028$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c908$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No69c899.96$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1810437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.227652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c406.64$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.627854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes5c401$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No20c389.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.756839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c377.1$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.131,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c375.11$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.293,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No68c375$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes13c373.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No67c372.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.253435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No69c364.74$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes26c345.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes7c340$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked No68c333$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.561080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9023947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9329053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9015049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes22c297.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes31c269.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.664332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.519750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes31c222$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.824654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No69c204.55$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9720452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Yes29c194.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.391136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No69c190$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.911448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No69c170$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.77951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No69c170$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.720652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No69c170$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.79945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No69c170$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.720250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No69c170$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.711346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.519652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.519951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.520949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed No71c144.46$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.897864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c144$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.219352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.218853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.210351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.219053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes31c115.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes32c105.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.715646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No67c103.03$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3417252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99b3…eb2dbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315850%29 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes29c88.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.27135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No69c87.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.262941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes32c84.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.819553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes31c77.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.712147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.