TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes40c18,569$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5006566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c9,041$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c4,751$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.461,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c3,044$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.7769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c3,025$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.6190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c2,441$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.793,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes23c2,177$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c2,100$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.4630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes30c1,727$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No69c1,549$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.2123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes30c1,253$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3765232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c1,111$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes30c763.1$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.932138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No74c628.13$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.311275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+80.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No63c569.73$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.782941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked No71c514.93$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c490.33$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.972,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No69c386.08$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.681040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c370.71$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked No70c283.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes16c261.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5816838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes23c252.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c236$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa0…ac6bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No72c189$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1624047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes12c166.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-72.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c161$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes30c156.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes28c154.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.492138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes20c149$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes12c144$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes31c143.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.435119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes27c142.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.092927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d0…58f0backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c132.03$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.931,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes21c129.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.54615.2%7 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No69c119.35$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3717252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No75c108$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9212744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No75c107.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9229946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.511541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c71.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7627854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes30c67.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.165650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2f…1209backed Yes30c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.510270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-81.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0548…77c2backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No69c43.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6414462.5%90 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes25c43.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No70c42.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.928558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes38c40.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Yes31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No70c31.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e74…32c3backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51c…2050backed No69c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No66c28.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No65c27.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.57156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No62c25.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.675752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.518564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No71c22.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6332145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No70c19.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7179133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c18.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.861,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No65c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2623762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No70c17.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.