TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x987c…9e49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST4577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$17.5
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+38.9%+$17.85
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.65
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.03
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$6.71
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.99
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.02
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.23
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.49
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.36
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+250.6%+$319.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$88.63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45.65
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$4.81
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.06
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-51.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.46
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.2%+$48.95
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.26
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$47.57
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150.5%+$45.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.81
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$153.23
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52.51
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+151.5%+$77.3
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$41.73
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+79.7%+$23.9
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$14.74
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$112.14
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.97
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.59
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$28.58
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.36
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$10.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.6%+$27.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+73.4%+$36.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$53.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.