Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d34619b2ad991ea305b90735bd95995e37f11a817d20930b0becf58fcb287b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 41c | 49,347$20,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,155.88 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 40,036$23,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,452.08 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 20,808$8,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 41c | 17,188$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047.28 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 16,273$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.89 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.96 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 41c | 12,052$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.81 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 51c | 8,585$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 41c | 6,800$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 6,379$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.39 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 5,660$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.41 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 5,437$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 41c | 5,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.97 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…7453backed No | 42c | 4,677$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 24c | 4,412$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.06 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,200$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.43 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 3,163$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.45 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 49c | 3,157$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 64c | 2,990$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.57 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,966$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 2,808$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 2,744$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.62 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 59c | 2,400$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 46c | 2,256$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.68 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 71c | 2,165$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.19 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,984$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.26 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 54c | 1,862$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.85 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 42c | 1,702$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 41c | 1,700$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 42c | 1,674$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.07 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 42c | 1,600$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 59c | 1,599$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 64c | 1,549$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 70c | 1,357$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 37c | 1,352$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.6 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 60c | 1,328$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed No | 52c | 1,200$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 53c | 1,167$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,088$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.14 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 1,087$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.65 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 73c | 1,038$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 42c | 992.86$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 992.44$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.98 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 70c | 992.15$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.13 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 58c | 974.14$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.14 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 58c | 862.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 79c | 778.6$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 639.78$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 59c | 618.28$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 19c | 603.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 523.61$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.03 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 40c | 500$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.51 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Yes | 59c | 450.85$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 42c | 448.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 61c | 440$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 77c | 410.2$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 59c | 406.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 65c | 395.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Yes | 59c | 376.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…418ebacked Yes | 59c | 345$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…b019backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 20c | 343.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Yes | 59c | 340.25$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 59c | 339$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…29eabacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 334$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…ec0ebacked Yes | 60c | 323.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…2ea5backed No | 44c | 323.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 59c | 322.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Yes | 59c | 321$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 307.55$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…4532backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Zimbabwe vs. South Africa end in a draw?No won
- Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.