Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-29?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438288e29f60a1e1fcc433458ad417ef8355aae424e6c4248a9cad4e3a909df3

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $202,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $261,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,461 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	12c	31,831$3,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,975.5	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	13c	5,943$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.97	236	22%52 W · 184 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	12c	5,186$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.14	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes	15c	4,047$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes	14c	3,510$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.39	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes	15c	3,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.99	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	13c	3,443$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.57	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes	12c	3,249$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.14	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	83	59%49 W · 34 L	+10.0wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes	15c	2,000$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.79	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.47per pick	37cpaid	+112.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	15c	1,915$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.72	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	14c	1,606$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.91	214	44.9%96 W · 118 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Yes	16c	1,578$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…5309backed Yes	2c	1,561$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.99	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	15c	1,296$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.23	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	8c	1,145$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.78	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	15c	820.74$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.49	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes	14c	800$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes	15c	700$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	210	16.7%35 W · 175 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes	14c	687.43$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.24	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	4c	650$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	186	41.4%77 W · 109 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	4c	617$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	516.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes	15c	505.93$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.84	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes	10c	500$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Yes	14c	409.5$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.33	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes	13c	385.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes	16c	318.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes	11c	277.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes	6c	254.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4acd…b7a8backed Yes	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes	10c	218.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	177	27.1%48 W · 129 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes	12c	169.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b2…122dbacked Yes	15c	140$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes	15c	134.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f13…a3f3backed Yes	11c	131.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…68e1backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	13c	120.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ff…8a4bbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8dc…091fbacked Yes	14c	113.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes	14c	110$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes	14c	105$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca49…daddbacked Yes	13c	96.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Yes	14c	90$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes	16c	76.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes	15c	73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-29?this page
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Will Zimbabwe vs. South Africa end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-29?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event