TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Zimbabwe vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked No74c9,940$7,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.271533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c6,195$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c3,331$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.729343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78021140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Yes38c2,660$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Yes59c1,866$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8820…0118backed Yes35c1,672$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes36c1,630$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.171323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed No73c1,438$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b6…d8debacked Yes27c1,436$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No72c1,417$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.899636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c1,268$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5735942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26023622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes34c861.05$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes30c749.35$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.511225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes15c668.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.367032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes58c635$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.849145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes57c567$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.225040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes12c505$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.67128.2%20 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes57c435.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed No73c399.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No51c379.02$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0634630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes15c369$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3921444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Yes58c344.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes15c332$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes19c331.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7516833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No76c320.94$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.924247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb604…b046backed Yes27c299.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes27c299.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No73c294.52$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.521471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes62c276.03$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c274.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186d…7197backed Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8095…97b6backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c241.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes18c232.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.79845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No66c220.44$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.825954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a0…511ebacked Yes37c186.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No72c177.3$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6414537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes27c175.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.322,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5465…51d0backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62e…e8d0backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c144$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.421,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a44…30c4backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No40c139.34$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.616845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes35c137.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca12…1cc0backed Yes8c131.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes15c129.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes13c112.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb7…99f7backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815128.5%43 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Yes27c95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes49c92.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.845547.3%26 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Yes11c91.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Yes27c91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6476…4a98backed Yes47c84.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Yes22c80.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.932263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes27c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked No71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.755442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21628.1%5 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-73.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Yes23c71.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa454…cb73backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Yes28c70.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f8…d47abacked Yes30c65.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No70c60.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f13…a3f3backed Yes19c57.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No56c53.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes26c52.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7336939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f5…c014backed Yes40c50.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f5…1770backed Yes53c47.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf5…5e15backed Yes27c42.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df3…0dd9backed Yes58c42.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes26c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4715859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.068734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ba3…4760backed Yes64c38.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No44c38.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.484845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked No73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed No73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dff…7974backed No64c34.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf097…3d5fbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe19c…0b8dbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.