Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7fb9ea4bf9089a16a330b96a89527baac4d18c04b1623092fe4469e5025632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,048,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,075,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,048,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd820…19f6backed Yes | 43c | 524,157$226,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297,349.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…2d14backed Yes | 43c | 239,917$103,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,372.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 56c | 186,541$105,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,267.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 174,941$90,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,121.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 108,046$60,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,851.91 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 99,523$56,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,302.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 57c | 70,200$40,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,014 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 55,309$31,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,371.99 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 42,629$24,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,148.29 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 41,337$23,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,507.31 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 1c | 13,400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 57c | 13,288$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,574 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 57c | 13,027$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425.37 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 57c | 11,362$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,476.34 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 10,131$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 9,971$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.04 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 8c | 8,834$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.16 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 6,445$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked No | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 57c | 4,182$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.66 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 4,144$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.48 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 43c | 4,100$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 43c | 4,070$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 43c | 3,200$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 2c | 2,938$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,438$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…7133backed Yes | 44c | 2,073$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 57c | 2,005$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 56c | 1,997$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.22 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b2…f10fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,925$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 42c | 1,909$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.96 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 56c | 1,571$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 52c | 1,490$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 57c | 1,490$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.83 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 69c | 1,315$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 57c | 1,004$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 61c | 978.73$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.73 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 57c | 927$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 44c | 911.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.15 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 10c | 891.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked No | 57c | 876.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 835$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.02 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 57c | 801$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.55 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 57c | 747.37$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 737.16$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.18 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 55c | 726.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 2c | 648.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 636$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.16 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 67c | 626.52$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 619.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 44c | 613.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 58c | 599.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 42c | 562.6$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 529$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 67c | 515.1$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 57c | 509.82$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 502.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.55 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 44c | 476.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 56c | 447.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 54c | 446.57$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 43c | 416.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 33c | 404.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…d089backed No | 54c | 385.58$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…34e5backed No | 54c | 379.77$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…bd9fbacked No | 54c | 379.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…23cbbacked No | 54c | 374.42$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579c…739ebacked Yes | 47c | 372.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e73fbacked Yes | 47c | 370.82$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…d235backed Yes | 47c | 363.34$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…6006backed Yes | 47c | 359.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 43c | 349.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.