Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b3acf8e453ec3ae452ea2d8b0f906cf07c5304478ae52e917623b87ed55d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 72c | 20,081$14,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 17,123$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.21 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 12,608$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,773$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.28 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 3,605$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.39 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,050$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 29c | 2,559$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…c42ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,156$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed No | 73c | 1,968$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 11c | 1,402$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 999.98$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 921.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 28c | 685.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 28c | 599.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 560.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 560$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 28c | 492.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 72c | 330$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 72c | 319.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 73c | 301.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 72c | 300.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 71c | 291.64$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 28c | 227.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 202.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 52c | 190.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 47c | 185.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 73c | 113.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…a901backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…58bdbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…157cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…1bf2backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 73c | 83.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 29c | 67.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 73c | 61.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…0604backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 72c | 46.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 72c | 45.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 73c | 44.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.