CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x924779b24867fc7a4a65a29ff650409267a6a36f3b200d5827c1fd06b8b71889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $688,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed FURIA | 35c | 33,706$11,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,052.9 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA | 38c | 25,952$9,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,051.01 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA | 64c | 23,302$14,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,439.8 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 22,936$11,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,211.29 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FURIA | 25c | 20,083$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,099.12 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 62c | 19,722$12,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.33 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FURIA | 27c | 14,225$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,390.26 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked FURIA | 59c | 13,595$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,601.92 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA | 37c | 12,721$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,024.93 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FURIA | 63c | 12,251$7,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.91 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 12,040$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.93 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA | 50c | 11,866$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,972.64 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 11,510$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.74 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 10,193$7,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,114.96 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 56c | 9,129$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.7 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 66c | 8,207$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.47 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed FURIA | 65c | 7,736$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.41 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed FURIA | 66c | 7,664$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.78 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 7,474$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 7,302$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.83 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 6,382$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…e30dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 6,000$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,725$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.25 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 5,616$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,012$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed FURIA | 63c | 4,980$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed FURIA | 22c | 4,470$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.92 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…578fbacked FURIA | 62c | 3,693$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked FURIA | 64c | 3,555$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.48 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…6040backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,508$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,432$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed FURIA | 67c | 3,234$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.33 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed FURIA | 78c | 3,171$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 3,159$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.06 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA | 52c | 3,124$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.11 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,885$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…dbbcbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,837$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,628$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.1 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed FURIA | 45c | 2,608$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,568$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,472$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed FURIA | 21c | 2,418$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,416$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed FURIA | 31c | 2,397$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.93 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,354$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.97 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked FURIA | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed FURIA | 64c | 2,271$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.66 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA | 78c | 2,223$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.7 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,142$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,075$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FURIA | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,862$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,586$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,569$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed FURIA | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…8cbdbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,530$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,490$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked FURIA | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…c66cbacked FURIA | 44c | 1,354$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,293$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.37 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA | 63c | 1,192$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.14 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed FURIA | 70c | 1,174$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.33 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed FURIA | 32c | 1,173$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.71 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,019$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.12 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 57c | 1,000$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.18 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FURIA | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…5a39backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 959.69$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked FURIA | 53c | 951.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.41 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed FURIA | 66c | 934.32$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 909.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 904.94$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 871.18$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…0f73backed FURIA | 55c | 870$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked FURIA | 63c | 790$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…68d4backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 761.24$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed FURIA | 66c | 757.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 749.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA | 63c | 747.95$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 736.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 726.71$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 721.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…e6eebacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 700$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 700$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 648$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed FURIA | 66c | 646.16$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FURIA | 72c | 611.53$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed FURIA | 66c | 556.84$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.37 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 538.1$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 525$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Natus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.