NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c29e9c9cf2531386e339f709dec10db9c125930f7eb644b8e6fefbc54772b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,809,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,846,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,809,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 931 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 60c | 261,803$156,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,947.37 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Kings | 40c | 172,821$68,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,887.05 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 62c | 155,227$96,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,986.44 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Kings | 40c | 154,495$62,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,497.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kings | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,999.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Kings | 40c | 78,673$31,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,095.57 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 60c | 52,684$31,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,092.77 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Heat | 60c | 51,080$30,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,181.89 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 38c | 50,084$19,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,031.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 19c | 46,648$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 62c | 43,431$26,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,503.75 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 61c | 43,199$26,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,847.66 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 38c | 39,861$15,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,061.3 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 59c | 29,538$17,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,024.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings | 12c | 27,727$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 39c | 25,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.98 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…628dbacked Kings | 39c | 24,226$9,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,448.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 7c | 23,794$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.34 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 38c | 23,266$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,840.96 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Heat | 61c | 19,828$12,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,732.99 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Heat | 61c | 19,104$11,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,528.11 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…b4bebacked Heat | 61c | 16,244$9,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,334.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heat | 62c | 16,150$10,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,137 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Heat | 62c | 13,750$8,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 2c | 13,402$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.59 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 60c | 13,391$7,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 60c | 13,293$7,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 57c | 13,211$7,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.75 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings | 38c | 12,500$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heat | 62c | 12,222$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.36 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Kings | 41c | 12,107$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.27 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed Heat | 60c | 11,702$7,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 74c | 11,696$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Kings | 39c | 11,664$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Heat | 61c | 10,010$6,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.88 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Heat | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Heat | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…a40abacked Kings | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…2dffbacked Kings | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Kings | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 40c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.91 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Kings | 31c | 9,960$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.95 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Heat | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.81 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 57c | 9,468$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Kings | 38c | 9,241$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.41 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 37c | 9,083$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.74 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Kings | 38c | 8,800$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 13c | 8,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Kings | 43c | 7,813$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.71 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…339ebacked Heat | 61c | 7,764$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Heat | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 7,340$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 61c | 7,316$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Heat | 63c | 7,294$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.65 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 61c | 6,790$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.1 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings | 40c | 6,323$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.16 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…46e0backed Heat | 57c | 6,284$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 40c | 6,175$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Kings | 42c | 6,019$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.06 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Kings | 38c | 6,014$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.39 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 72c | 5,896$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Heat | 63c | 5,659$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.73 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kings | 15c | 5,418$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.79 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Kings | 44c | 5,344$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.3 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 15c | 5,176$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.64 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Heat | 63c | 4,889$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.89 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Kings | 40c | 4,813$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Heat | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Heat | 69c | 4,726$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.2 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 62c | 4,498$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…adaebacked Kings | 43c | 4,400$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…eeb4backed Heat | 57c | 4,330$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7e…d1b7backed Kings | 43c | 4,330$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…fb28backed Heat | 57c | 4,300$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…5e69backed Heat | 57c | 4,300$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 39c | 4,300$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0bfebacked Kings | 43c | 4,300$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kings | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed Kings | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 13c | 3,936$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 1c | 3,862$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Kings | 32c | 3,851$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.76 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Heat | 76c | 3,807$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.84 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 21c | 3,497$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Heat | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Heat | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Heat | 61c | 3,250$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…bef7backed Kings | 32c | 3,158$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.75 | 146 | 26.7%39 W · 107 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Heat | 58c | 3,099$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.09 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 60c | 3,097$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Heat | 60c | 3,012$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.8 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Kings | 17c | 3,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Kings | 40c | 3,002$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.84 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Heat | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Heat | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Kingsthis page
- Heat vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.