NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb7b47fc50edae61bf940ceede9f1ce4b2d675d6e6b9e0b555c8d191c936cf38

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Kings
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $111,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,410 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	54c	39,554$21,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,194.71	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings	46c	31,986$14,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,663.41	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Kings	46c	10,364$4,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,778.08	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings	46c	9,592$4,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,412.4	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Heat	55c	7,500$4,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,375	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Heat	54c	6,600$3,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,035.99	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings	44c	5,163$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.69	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings	47c	3,785$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,787.95	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Heat	55c	2,727$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.27	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Heat	57c	2,164$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.17	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Heat	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Heat	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Heat	57c	1,974$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.98	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings	47c	1,912$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.65	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings	45c	1,401$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.44	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Kings	43c	1,395$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	120	50%60 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings	48c	1,305$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.34	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Heat	54c	1,215$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.97	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Kings	49c	1,106$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings	43c	867.53$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.75	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Kings	46c	647.04$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.03	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9728…0314backed Heat	55c	624.75$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.14	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Kings	46c	618.98$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.73	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Heat	55c	545.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Kings	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Kings	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c8…2564backed Heat	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings	47c	355$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.85	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Kings	42c	329.98$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.79	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Kings	48c	286.54$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.54	435	43.4%189 W · 246 L	-16.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Kings	46c	272.78$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.33	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Heat	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings	47c	270.13$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.96	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Heat	56c	268.71$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.71	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings	47c	252$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.44	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kings	45c	233.64$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.04	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Heat	56c	223.55$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.21	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Heat	55c	209.91$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.46	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings	47c	204.25$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.62	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Heat	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Heat	53c	186.06$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.45	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Heat	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Heat	53c	150.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Heat	54c	145.05$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.72	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	67c	139.61$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.87	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Heat	58c	137.93$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.93	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Heat	58c	137.93$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.93	265	45.3%120 W · 145 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Heat	55c	129.58$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.31	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Heat	56c	113.28$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.28	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Kings	46c	112.8$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.89	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kings	45c	111.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.52	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Heat	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed Heat	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	132	65.2%86 W · 46 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…fd21backed Heat	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	140	36.4%51 W · 89 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Heat	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Heat	57c	88.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.19	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked Heat	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Kings	45c	86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.12	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Kings	43c	80.77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	54c	80.62$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.08	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Kings	46c	77.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…c3b8backed Kings	48c	74.77$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.69	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kings	46c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Heat	53c	64.15$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.15	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa63c…b262backed Heat	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Heat	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Kings	44c	55.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Heat	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Heat	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kings	48c	52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Heat	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Kings	47c	46.26$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	1,084	42.4%460 W · 624 L	-48.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Heat	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Heat	57c	38.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Heat	57c	37.46$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Heat	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5885…14c1backed Heat	58c	35.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Heat	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Kings	47c	34.49$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Kings	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db4…2f93backed Heat	57c	31.58$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.58	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kings	48c	30.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…8f19backed Heat	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Kings	46c	29.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Heat	56c	26.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.99	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada4…1bfabacked Kings	48c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Heat	55c	25.75$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.59	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Heat	55c	25.45$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Heat	55c	25.21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+11.6wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89af…631fbacked Heat	55c	23.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Heat	54c	23.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.74	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Heat	54c	23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb843…e613backed Heat	55c	22.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Kings	46c	21.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	169	42.6%72 W · 97 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Heat	77c	15.97$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.61	192	32.8%63 W · 129 L	-18.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event