NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dbc6fd136f17b14a5f7919cfc259eb60a2adf969a399a36652d18e84cc20656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 35,769$18,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,906.85 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 54c | 26,175$14,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,045.85 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 21,170$10,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,054.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 46c | 19,982$9,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,191.61 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 19,171$8,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,922.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 53c | 10,413$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.38 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Under | 46c | 9,395$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 9,211$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.65 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 53c | 7,043$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.21 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 47c | 6,767$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.49 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 54c | 6,600$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 6,272$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.84 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 54c | 5,471$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.33 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 4,406$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 45c | 4,180$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Under | 46c | 3,270$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,552$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 2,482$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.72 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 46c | 2,406$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 48c | 2,200$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…6221backed Under | 47c | 1,528$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 53c | 1,418$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.38 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 1,199$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.49 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 48c | 1,058$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.19 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 46c | 1,057$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 55c | 972$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 48c | 833.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 651.06$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 45c | 566.67$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 55c | 560.27$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…5112backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 500.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 57c | 438.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.23 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 47c | 423.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 410.01$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 408$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 401.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 55c | 291.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 54c | 279.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 247.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 217.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 48c | 211.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 28c | 200.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 46c | 198$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 194.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Under | 47c | 160.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 156.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 55c | 145.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 54c | 141$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 55c | 129.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…1c13backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 46c | 98.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 46c | 97.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 47c | 89.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…56bbbacked Under | 46c | 88.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Under | 46c | 86.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 85.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 83.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…a336backed Under | 48c | 82.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 50c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 71.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 54c | 62.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 61.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 52c | 57.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 57.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…68f6backed Over | 55c | 56.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 50.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 43c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 55c | 48.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…edacbacked Under | 48c | 47.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 55c | 47.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 55c | 46.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 64c | 46.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 47c | 39.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…79c9backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Kings: O/U 236.5this page
- Heat vs. KingsHeat won
- Heat vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.