CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x905d556d5a926a148007cb70bdbf1f3a3598ea82645f6543b72b71f0f6a6a0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed M80 | 22c | 36,615$7,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,972.15 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed M80 | 35c | 24,627$8,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,619.49 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 24,605$15,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,630.68 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed M80 | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed M80 | 37c | 12,175$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 10,010$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.17 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 6,825$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.44 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed M80 | 11c | 6,243$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.1 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed M80 | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 5,945$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.89 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 3,618$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.16 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,568$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.06 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked M80 | 29c | 3,129$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed M80 | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed M80 | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed M80 | 35c | 2,707$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.21 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed M80 | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 2,439$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.86 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 2,201$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.4 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked M80 | 34c | 1,982$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.88 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…2b48backed M80 | 29c | 1,929$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,923$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.08 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 37c | 1,907$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed M80 | 47c | 1,900$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.21 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,828$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.13 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…f349backed M80 | 47c | 1,619$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked M80 | 34c | 1,594$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.73 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,538$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.19 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed M80 | 37c | 1,493$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.94 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.94 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed M80 | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,355$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.38 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked M80 | 34c | 1,345$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.7 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked M80 | 52c | 1,339$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.27 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked M80 | 36c | 1,337$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.69 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,300$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,259$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.33 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,239$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.07 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,212$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.54 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked M80 | 52c | 1,174$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed M80 | 46c | 1,042$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,020$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed M80 | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed M80 | 31c | 999.98$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed M80 | 36c | 999.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed M80 | 35c | 981.15$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.61 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M80 | 36c | 976.79$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 955.4$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed M80 | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed M80 | 2c | 888$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed M80 | 53c | 881$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 877.69$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.69 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked M80 | 35c | 862.85$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed M80 | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed M80 | 2c | 853$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 825$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.25 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked M80 | 31c | 816.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.98 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 777$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed M80 | 37c | 714.28$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked M80 | 33c | 711.94$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed M80 | 39c | 700.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.13 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 600$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.5 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 596.21$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 560$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked M80 | 46c | 546.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 542.96$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked M80 | 32c | 534.02$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed M80 | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed M80 | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed M80 | 38c | 496.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…49aabacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 479.95$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…68b1backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 476.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed M80 | 37c | 457$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 426.12$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked M80 | 49c | 413.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 406$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 405.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed M80 | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 399.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 373.65$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked M80 | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 344.82$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 324.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 317.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 304.62$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 304.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…0ad7backed M80 | 33c | 299.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked M80 | 10c | 298$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed M80 | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed M80 | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 48.8%196 W · 206 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 275$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e90…af65backed M80 | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.