TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$637,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$795,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869c…2483backed Yes73c30,624$22,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,337.71833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x98fb…b06dbacked Yes72c30,335$21,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,734.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed Yes70c19,693$13,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,688.344731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb914…6f94backed No25c15,545$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,645.165100%5 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+908.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked No58c15,093$8,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,368.561442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed No60c13,091$7,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No19c13,037$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,518.755655.4%31 W · 25 L+13.4wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+86.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xb741…a996backed No23c12,318$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,460.772871.4%20 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+119%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed No51c9,735$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,728.067100%7 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+297.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8025…4863backed No50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Yes56c8,258$4,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,638.593823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ec5…1398backed No27c8,196$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,957.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+194.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa792…2066backed Yes72c7,500$5,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,404.991450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63a4…2528backed No19c7,300$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,945.993372.7%24 W · 9 L+13.8wins+0.42per pick31cpaid+257.2%equal weight76+0.24 edge/pick
0x5203…d25cbacked No46c7,101$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+211.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed Yes58c7,026$4,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0464938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5249…848fbacked Yes78c6,891$5,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.2650%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed No30c6,565$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,597.043863.2%24 W · 14 L+10.5wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6450…ab14backed No46c6,530$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.31346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No38c6,501$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,044.896350.8%32 W · 31 L+12.0wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes74c6,373$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c68…0df1backed No63c6,183$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked No26c6,137$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,547.153369.7%23 W · 10 L+10.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+135.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3adb…e5afbacked Yes30c6,123$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes36c6,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1405347.2%25 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No26c5,210$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.717859.6%106 W · 72 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c5,180$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.332061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes55c4,766$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.486931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb449…5e07backed Yes57c4,504$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ba…0aa6backed Yes41c4,190$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb67…d696backed No47c3,845$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.597270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x981d…ed7fbacked No66c3,779$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.658744.8%39 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc985…52abbacked Yes50c3,666$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de2…0231backed Yes46c3,606$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9570%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x034a…2640backed Yes56c3,516$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.04128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-85.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed No79c3,439$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.994257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,423$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.037663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No17c3,348$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.810336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed No33c3,059$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.434835.4%17 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8270…95d1backed Yes65c3,055$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37fd…7101backed Yes74c3,011$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Yes68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9970%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x34ff…5007backed Yes58c2,780$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1490…a742backed Yes69c2,628$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.9960%0 W · 6 L-3.8wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6789…ac37backed No18c2,556$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.561770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+698%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes60c2,351$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.672030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes65c2,300$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49550%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed No17c2,269$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.278440.5%34 W · 50 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed No52c2,220$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.4610100%10 W · 0 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4fde…ec1dbacked Yes50c2,197$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.311631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No16c2,174$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.1613422.4%30 W · 104 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+175.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed No42c2,067$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.274938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff06…898dbacked Yes49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2408…1c42backed Yes74c2,022$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.77922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes49c2,001$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.862231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa20a…d92dbacked No34c2,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3301283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+244.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Yes70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes15c2,000$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.663946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52016247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa548…de1dbacked Yes77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed Yes64c1,993$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.435541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes66c1,980$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.371612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-80.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0822…84e5backed No49c1,857$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.843063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+206.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x73bd…3a97backed No77c1,853$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.96650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…b7e3backed No66c1,803$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.932475%18 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes72c1,681$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+85.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,597$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.081541.9%3 W · 151 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed No20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007132.4%23 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18513131.3%41 W · 90 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa794…42adbacked No43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes2c1,499$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.452442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed No23c1,454$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.746937.7%26 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+87.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3032…99e7backed No67c1,418$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.912975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No14c1,400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2046123%14 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…acd3backed No19c1,316$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.795100%5 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+1,097%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes3c1,307$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.112917.2%5 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec1…f20dbacked Yes1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed No63c1,270$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.843773%27 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed No48c1,230$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.678532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…c2cbbacked No51c1,213$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.463141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a5…c4e3backed No46c1,200$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6444163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e67…f4a7backed Yes66c1,199$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.041936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes73c1,185$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.031010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-85.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes55c1,183$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes77c1,173$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…8cebbacked Yes3c1,119$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f31…4dccbacked Yes39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes65c1,092$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.073336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked No36c1,086$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.895100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+73.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4584…5473backed No47c1,068$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+226.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa96…9592backed No51c1,043$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.045437%20 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed No35c1,024$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.692268.2%15 W · 7 L+8.5wins+0.38per pick30cpaid+162.8%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xbff4…580dbacked Yes76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid+257.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79a8…1befbacked No45c1,000$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.718100%8 W · 0 L+4.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+205.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf73c…ab35backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed No18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82013023.8%31 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5957…3faabacked Yes78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea48…f0ffbacked No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+135.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed Yes69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd3…437abacked No21c999.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+387.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.