TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$502,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeb67…d696backed No41c33,718$13,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,801.097270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x98fb…b06dbacked Yes78c30,626$23,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,938.641154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb914…6f94backed No21c21,945$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,444.845100%5 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+908.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes53c16,843$8,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,963.456634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa792…2066backed Yes65c14,730$9,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,595.121450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb741…a996backed No62c14,352$8,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.642871.4%20 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+119%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked No18c10,295$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,402.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+74.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff44…9e86backed Yes75c10,028$7,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,503.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed Yes62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2004731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab0…6364backed No45c9,884$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+219.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes25c9,438$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.848532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked No33c9,000$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.841442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x869c…2483backed Yes69c7,261$5,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0261833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No31c7,200$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9885655.4%31 W · 25 L+13.4wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+86.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5203…d25cbacked No37c7,195$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+211.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed No39c5,775$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.787100%7 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+297.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4ad4…1704backed Yes0c5,524$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.053050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes67c5,414$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,634.722231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505832.8%19 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb449…5e07backed Yes33c4,470$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6789…ac37backed No48c4,246$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.71770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+698%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x63a4…2528backed No13c4,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4603372.7%24 W · 9 L+13.8wins+0.42per pick31cpaid+257.2%equal weight76+0.24 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed Yes53c3,818$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.025541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Yes47c3,806$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.945453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No25c3,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.8617859.6%106 W · 72 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes75c3,482$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes71c3,437$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.136931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x084c…a134backed No12c3,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.993100%3 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,354.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No62c3,220$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.614959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de2…0231backed Yes64c3,115$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.3570%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Yes78c3,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34070%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1de1…0d24backed Yes8c3,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Yes45c2,800$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2723823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No16c2,656$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.0210336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73bd…3a97backed No24c2,525$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.38650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc50…3d10backed Yes56c2,500$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee1…16debacked Yes66c2,273$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fab…e5a7backed Yes1c2,179$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa20a…d92dbacked No22c2,060$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+244.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x1066…6075backed No12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+146.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Yes10c1,900$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907132.4%23 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec1…f20dbacked Yes1c1,855$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,850$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.492061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes3c1,719$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.981541.9%3 W · 151 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed No69c1,685$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…acd3backed No14c1,642$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.375100%5 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+1,097%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked No15c1,631$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.613369.7%23 W · 10 L+10.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+135.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf73c…ab35backed Yes8c1,601$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0860%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe078…0de5backed Yes53c1,504$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+88.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88ac…fb0bbacked Yes68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201540%6 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed No17c1,500$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23919543.1%84 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-80.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes75c1,454$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.23336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e34…7ac2backed Yes68c1,407$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cc…3ee6backed Yes77c1,292$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed No37c1,283$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.953863.2%24 W · 14 L+10.5wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3e60…e13abacked No23c1,269$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.824100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+151.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8313…6788backed No40c1,258$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5420…114ebacked Yes60c1,182$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed Yes77c1,170$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.920551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d1c…89c0backed Yes56c1,158$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-75.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed No43c1,146$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.178440.5%34 W · 50 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed No28c1,139$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.272268.2%15 W · 7 L+8.5wins+0.38per pick30cpaid+162.8%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6450…ab14backed No28c1,055$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.461346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes22c1,048$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.04520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6c…6a67backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8006123%14 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83013131.3%41 W · 90 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed Yes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6104938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77a5…7feabacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No41c934.63$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.23977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.49per pick29cpaid+927.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes2c915$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-80.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…c453backed Yes51c899.98$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked Yes34c877.91$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.664136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x240e…80eebacked Yes58c860$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-76.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e16…5026backed No39c858$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5276246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes2c800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.480%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Yes68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed No31c800$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5525100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+125.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1490…a742backed Yes79c795.39$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.1360%0 W · 6 L-3.8wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes71c792.89$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.622941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x485d…47edbacked Yes68c764.46$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.923116.1%5 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-70.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4ce2…9203backed Yes77c666.31$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-75.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca9…959abacked No31c664.59$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.477100%7 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+291.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x675f…a63bbacked No18c628.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.573100%3 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+2,272.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b63…aa97backed Yes59c600$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3564425%11 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0822…84e5backed No44c575.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.863063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+206.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No45c575.15$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.165650%28 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0ef…6e64backed Yes59c569.73$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x012e…1299backed Yes76c546.91$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.921520%3 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked No42c526.64$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.677100%7 W · 0 L+4.9wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+400.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3f48…e69bbacked No18c512.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+338.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No22c507.81$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.093548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Yes79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e37…cccbbacked No17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41510143.6%44 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…b912backed No20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cad…994fbacked Yes77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.