TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$727,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$754,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb914…6f94backed No10c54,384$5,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,963.555100%5 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+908.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xeb67…d696backed No19c45,824$8,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,205.727270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c20,433$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.531712.9%5 W · 166 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-37.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd61c…84fbbacked Yes45c18,254$8,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,218.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c15,856$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.892061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff44…9e86backed Yes77c14,106$10,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,845.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes0c12,855$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.034835.4%17 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb741…a996backed No10c12,206$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,005.712871.4%20 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+119%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5405…41b2backed No74c9,534$7,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.999100%9 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+112.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes53c8,482$4,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,535.578532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No6c7,955$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,484.7213422.4%30 W · 104 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+175.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed No17c7,454$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,187.57100%7 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+297.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes4c7,388$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.782010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid+470.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…8c06backed Yes1c7,010$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed Yes66c6,706$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.85540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dfe…94febacked No38c6,587$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,086.824100%4 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+1,255%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3adb…e5afbacked Yes1c6,023$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes78c5,800$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cfa…b608backed No8c5,484$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,036.382853.6%15 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+340.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked No24c5,465$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,164.694100%4 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+1,793.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x084c…a134backed No4c5,022$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,822.353100%3 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,354.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x88ac…fb0bbacked Yes80c5,000$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,984.291540%6 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed No21c4,980$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.034843.8%21 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+64.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes29c4,962$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.326931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf73c…ab35backed Yes2c4,834$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.660%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No8c4,750$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,357.7210336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4d1…c676backed Yes23c4,361$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed No69c4,288$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.171963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No12c4,240$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.7117859.6%106 W · 72 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes1c4,188$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed Yes56c4,018$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.085453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x969c…5266backed No75c3,980$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.921283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+159.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes77c3,120$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.48739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No4c2,592$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.316350.8%32 W · 31 L+12.0wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes69c2,297$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.316247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes1c2,205$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7810340.8%42 W · 61 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…2528backed No6c2,145$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.963372.7%24 W · 9 L+13.8wins+0.42per pick31cpaid+257.2%equal weight76+0.24 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Yes72c2,142$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.11825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes79c1,994$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.782030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed No15c1,949$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.663863.2%24 W · 14 L+10.5wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x77a5…7feabacked Yes5c1,800$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aab…55bcbacked No4c1,800$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+7.1wins+0.55per pick15cpaid+1,345.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked Yes59c1,677$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.094136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c1,625$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf936…90d0backed Yes21c1,522$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed Yes44c1,450$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.8920551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd25a…739cbacked No14c1,347$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.26650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+285.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes3c1,313$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.86520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20a…d92dbacked No13c1,302$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.411283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+244.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes7c1,267$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.392917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No35c1,240$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.185650%28 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2be0…68adbacked No15c1,079$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.09837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+97.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes62c1,061$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.871010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-85.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2380%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes25c1,000$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2487234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b3…490ebacked Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5249…848fbacked Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2350%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked No14c1,000$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8643369.7%23 W · 10 L+10.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+135.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd90a…ad32backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0826…0b32backed No10c1,000$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8964938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5358…4503backed Yes2c1,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb335…6584backed No11c939.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.535100%5 W · 0 L+4.5wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+992.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Yes23c939.27$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.417132.4%23 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed No13c883.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.762231.8%7 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick16cpaid+295.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed No76c883.16$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b6…6f3dbacked Yes2c882.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fde…ec1dbacked Yes16c850$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4c8bbacked Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed No16c791.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.082268.2%15 W · 7 L+8.5wins+0.38per pick30cpaid+162.8%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe656…5e07backed Yes12c789.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.84025%10 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No6c780.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.1113131.3%41 W · 90 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+164.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…0ebabacked Yes2c758$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c733$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81c…c3d2backed Yes25c700$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No21c663.37$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.49per pick29cpaid+927.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes6c570.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.992010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-80.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…944dbacked No67c562.59$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed No14c542.47$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.573026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid-3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc43d…8928backed Yes79c504.47$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4957…a5fbbacked Yes3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9afa…f178backed Yes12c500$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…886abacked Yes21c469.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes4c468.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09333%1 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed No75c441.88$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.883773%27 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x407c…49aabacked No6c434.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.611421.9%25 W · 89 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+122.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No54c433.41$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7133329.7%99 W · 234 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed No75c420$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4938…ce0cbacked Yes70c400$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.22114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb271…afdebacked Yes47c384.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc6…3a33backed Yes4c376.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8697…86bcbacked Yes35c350$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcf7…b2bdbacked No75c350$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.552846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa4…5edbbacked No18c340$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+239.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5eb6…89dabacked No15c331.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.937100%7 W · 0 L+5.7wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+1,074%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x11be…3968backed No14c319$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.421190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.43per pick48cpaid+153.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x78a0…72d9backed No23c302.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick37cpaid+174.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b63…aa97backed Yes68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044425%11 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1551…6831backed Yes70c300$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.940%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe45b…8433backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.