CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5431a1a58d0efcaba83bb773df0d68a12874b3509890c4e6e13415273dc6caf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Spirit, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 65c | 33,894$21,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,998.95 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Vitality | 40c | 22,708$9,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,538.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Spirit | 65c | 15,363$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 34c | 14,353$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,516.36 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vitality | 42c | 13,504$5,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,797.79 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 40c | 13,006$5,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,821.53 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit | 34c | 12,940$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.32 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 38c | 12,685$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spirit | 64c | 12,664$8,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,042.54 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Vitality | 25c | 10,548$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,860.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 57c | 9,794$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,563.17 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Vitality | 33c | 9,709$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,491.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vitality | 58c | 7,500$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.04 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Spirit | 68c | 7,352$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…4f0cbacked Spirit | 47c | 6,495$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…578fbacked Spirit | 66c | 5,728$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…3e25backed Spirit | 45c | 4,693$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Vitality | 29c | 4,185$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.92 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Spirit | 72c | 4,136$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.4 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Vitality | 31c | 3,780$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.77 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked Spirit | 46c | 3,348$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.24 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Vitality | 11c | 3,107$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.7 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spirit | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Spirit | 60c | 2,940$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Spirit | 3c | 2,883$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…d521backed Vitality | 35c | 2,668$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 46c | 2,524$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.22 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Spirit | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Vitality | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Vitality | 9c | 2,340$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.16 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Vitality | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Vitality | 16c | 1,856$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.06 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Vitality | 19c | 1,639$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.04 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality | 19c | 1,590$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.87 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Spirit | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Vitality | 15c | 1,350$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.99 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 38c | 1,300$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Spirit | 47c | 1,282$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed Spirit | 57c | 1,281$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked Vitality | 29c | 1,257$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 68c | 1,243$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.4 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Vitality | 22c | 1,239$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Vitality | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…f349backed Spirit | 46c | 1,095$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…8412backed Spirit | 68c | 1,081$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Spirit | 42c | 1,035$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.69 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…8cadbacked Vitality | 60c | 1,020$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Spirit | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Spirit | 52c | 967.34$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Spirit | 54c | 910.98$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.25 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 76c | 909.56$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.69 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Spirit | 21c | 825$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…d2acbacked Spirit | 74c | 804.7$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 37c | 802.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.49 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed Spirit | 2c | 790$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535d…fda1backed Vitality | 20c | 788.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Vitality | 56c | 757.27$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.76 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Vitality | 54c | 744$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6f…b7dbbacked Vitality | 75c | 733.14$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…f8eabacked Vitality | 50c | 725.54$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Spirit | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…3ccfbacked Spirit | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Vitality | 38c | 699.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Spirit | 38c | 672.38$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.66 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Spirit | 47c | 659.82$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Vitality | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…76b9backed Spirit | 47c | 638.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit | 66c | 617.14$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.16 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…05e1backed Spirit | 68c | 609.56$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Vitality | 34c | 584.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.78 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vitality | 15c | 555.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Vitality | 55c | 550.42$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Vitality | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Vitality | 3c | 529.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.8 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Vitality | 53c | 517.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Spirit | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Vitality | 20c | 500$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality | 54c | 499.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Vitality | 23c | 491.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.02 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit | 45c | 450.27$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.85 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…9e49backed Vitality | 29c | 447.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Vitality | 36c | 436.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Spirit | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…0d50backed Vitality | 16c | 425$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…79a0backed Vitality | 23c | 415.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…129dbacked Spirit | 52c | 404.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Vitality | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…46d5backed Spirit | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked Vitality | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9a75backed Vitality | 6c | 400$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Vitality | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Spirit | 68c | 399.49$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Vitality | 11c | 391.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.62 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Spirit | 47c | 377.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5645…658bbacked Spirit | 27c | 371.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Vitality | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Vitality | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Vitality | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.