TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$489,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$516,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked No50c70,641$34,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,651.566566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes51c61,975$31,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,607.079154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes51c58,106$29,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,523.279536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c25,694$12,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,829.124,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No48c22,909$10,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,913.017139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Yes52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,400540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c17,212$9,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,155.2230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No46c17,046$7,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,204.649459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c16,271$8,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,68050243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…cab1backed Yes50c16,255$8,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,202.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes54c16,000$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,64015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No48c15,334$7,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,973.918940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes49c11,838$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,802.923847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No49c10,205$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.554548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No47c9,500$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No54c5,884$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.973452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes53c5,214$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.6610438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c3,430$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1808…eabebacked No46c3,413$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7485…dd76backed Yes54c3,406$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…d253backed No48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9913845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes51c2,954$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.6664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes52c2,539$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.9116740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c2,539$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.783,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed No50c2,372$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1863100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes52c2,324$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.3215036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes53c2,219$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.667448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…5c70backed Yes57c2,095$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9139…fbc0backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes50c1,970$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9851020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c1,713$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.4155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Yes52c1,667$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.84837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No44c1,500$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.3614244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No70c1,471$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No46c1,408$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.476141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed No49c1,220$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dd…67c8backed Yes52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes50c1,200$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6058521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e84…52c8backed No48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No46c1,197$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.496836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes78c1,161$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes52c1,147$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes42c1,144$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.4974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes47c1,118$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.657632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes21c1,060$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes46c1,044$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes38c1,043$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3929545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes43c1,001$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4282536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594f…392cbacked No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes51c984.44$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9723452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4866640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c877.14$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7122335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes47c851.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No52c834.5$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.487534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes57c830.48$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2117252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed No47c828.57$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes45c815.92$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0411457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4244156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked No75c752.18$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.613259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes19c750$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.310441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes53c715.04$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked No49c620$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes40c589.53$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No45c569.02$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9325248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes54c550$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2979347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No20c534.16$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.989134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8321641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes22c509.06$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Yes47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No47c495.07$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Yes53c464.22$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes52c425$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5465…51d0backed No47c424.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes37c423.41$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6715442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd118…e9c9backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd691…0c27backed Yes29c410.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked Yes61c406.55$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes52c403.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No47c400$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.54740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes48c386.85$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.691266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes52c385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.25246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes53c354.72$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18816446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a0…2698backed Yes44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No61c333.72$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.153756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes52c331.69$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.