TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c64,516$25,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,222.0148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No61c45,579$27,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,803.193046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c14,217$8,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,530.1393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No61c10,031$6,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.45240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c9,803$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,058.9896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c6,311$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.791,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes37c5,384$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.635655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c4,178$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.262,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No62c4,100$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5421145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c3,305$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.1845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c2,392$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.0327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes37c1,338$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.922055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcdb…461abacked Yes39c1,234$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.54520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No60c1,165$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.685369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes28c1,104$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.933622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes38c984.74$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.549154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No62c922.68$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.069952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed Yes31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+126.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No66c573.76$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.292774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c569.23$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2333951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes38c543.73$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1133357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No61c497.38$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes39c489.56$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.632441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No52c474.93$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.941926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked No62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes79c386.02$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes34c378.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.572737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No61c351.21$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.243262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No63c347.3$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6615550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No61c336.35$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.189037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes37c329.16$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3711832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18912049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18612540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes36c300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.411650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes39c294.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.871650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes35c283.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No65c276.92$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No62c265.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…66a1backed No62c265.81$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes38c265.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.374955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.415740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833e…f756backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No61c256$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.162347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes39c253.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.628754%47 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes40c249.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.768858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No61c237.27$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7413040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No38c225$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.784717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No6c204.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2928931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222157.1%12 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225028%14 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No61c185.2$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes38c182.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4710736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes38c163.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7215635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Yes40c160.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+89.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.23243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No62c151.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.732254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No63c137.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2524849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c135$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.759149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes38c130.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.762347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.31838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No61c129.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0520841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804264.3%27 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes52c120$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.211546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes28c105$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.62564%16 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5613658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.563743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No62c88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.553658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed No62c85.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed No61c79.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.781540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No62c73.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.471553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes34c67.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.655450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47e0…6510backed Yes38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.138739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x987c…9e49backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No62c63.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.613658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes33c61.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No61c58.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.55839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.057958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c52.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.