TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes62c16,150$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c7,265$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c6,694$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01dd…adbebacked No66c4,538$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfafd…2f68backed Yes34c4,517$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c3,878$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.9396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d9…5a7cbacked Yes34c3,361$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.161225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes34c2,958$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.735424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No66c2,667$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.7811153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes62c2,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes32c2,106$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.6138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8a…a2ebbacked No67c2,073$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes44c1,845$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.1459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c1,695$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.051,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c1,268$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.8248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No54c925.42$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9815550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No57c881.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.064656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes32c745.48$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No66c567.16$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.845658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c556.79$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7421058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf8…9bd0backed No68c487.43$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes32c476.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6319549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…94d4backed No68c451.99$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.643100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab6…82c8backed No68c448.53$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeac…867abacked No68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No68c435.29$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.294971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c320$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes33c303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No65c291.71$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes30c290.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.284717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xddb5…b73bbacked No68c266.18$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No66c260.59$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.62250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes34c255$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes34c224.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2413040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e0…f93cbacked No68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6231441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No38c200$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes44c188.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1113639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf27f…0329backed No68c164.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cc…8675backed No68c151.47$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.47785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb734…fb2ebacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb19…8a05backed No68c136.06$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed Yes34c109.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.841926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa83…74f4backed No68c108.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes34c107.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.622254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x521d…713bbacked No68c104.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked No68c102$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes34c101.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No66c99.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9915357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe79…02ccbacked No68c97.06$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.066100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…e12cbacked No68c95.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.593100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc77d…aa76backed No68c92.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.656100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fcf…483fbacked No68c91.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.186100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70ad…82e0backed No68c91.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.186100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa04d…c86fbacked No68c89.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c89.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No66c86.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…ab3cbacked No68c85.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa402…d04bbacked No68c83.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea9…329dbacked No68c82.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes15c81.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2643058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d1…513ebacked No68c80.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8723…4c06backed No68c80.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67166.2%47 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x602e…2980backed No68c79.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9347…16efbacked No68c77.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5761…d4bdbacked No68c77.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7028…157cbacked No68c76.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a0…e30abacked No68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5753…617dbacked No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked No55c72.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd451…61e9backed No68c72.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd652…4e1cbacked No68c70.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd06…cb1cbacked Yes33c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes31c49.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab6…5ca1backed Yes33c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No66c47.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0614255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No66c40.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.683243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes31c39.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.236246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe09b…704fbacked Yes34c38.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.