Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf305a06116faee15958997c4664939a41245d3131b4fd0e5c034bbf5d53cd710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 22c | 2,832$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,104$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 72c | 1,084$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.34 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,057$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 19c | 502$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 73c | 471.23$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 378.12$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 352.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 333.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 29c | 293.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 22c | 285.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed No | 72c | 271.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 231.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 71c | 197.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 29c | 128.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…5d42backed Yes | 18c | 124.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed No | 74c | 124.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed No | 73c | 104.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 28c | 71.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…06b4backed Yes | 29c | 69.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 27c | 44.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Yes | 28c | 43.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…474cbacked No | 76c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will US Lecce vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.