TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd06…cb1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+66.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$30.78
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.18
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31.62
Canadiens vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$35.19
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.92
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$19.47
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$31.9
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+194.1%+$30.36
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.04
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Raptors vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.15
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+100%+$35.5
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+257.1%+$30.24
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$25.92
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+163.2%+$28.52
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+211.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+244.8%+$25.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$36.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$24.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.26
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.