NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5560fea426038af180be1e6166a8df9046b6e5d01bc872db3f9e0f5545797abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $975,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $975,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Canadiens | 45c | 177,061$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,061.27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 123,051$65,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,535.82 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 89,999$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,499.68 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Canadiens | 48c | 75,943$36,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,490.44 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canadiens | 44c | 60,000$26,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,399.83 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 35,511$19,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,886.16 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 31,910$17,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,231.67 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 31,499$17,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,324.45 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 11,110$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 71c | 9,963$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Maple Leafs | 29c | 9,669$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.03 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 9,422$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.1 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 9,390$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.4 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 8,680$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Canadiens | 45c | 6,933$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.33 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 5,801$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.79 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 5,232$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.84 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Canadiens | 44c | 4,600$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,904$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.45 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3598backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,519$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Canadiens | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.15 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,890$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.13 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 43c | 2,565$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.15 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,337$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.91 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,164$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.84 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,066$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.36 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,028$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.18 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…a794backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,865$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…c732backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…1339backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…d9afbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ea…78efbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…2ca8backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…584cbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…29b6backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…8afdbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…601cbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…8126backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…1949backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56a…b266backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…57aebacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b248backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…eb36backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…77cdbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…13a2backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…df94backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…5a9cbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…5b37backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…8d32backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ee61backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ec…4041backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…d36cbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…d1e5backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…875fbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…b39ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…47e0backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…2f37backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…915ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…e80ebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…49b0backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…1d67backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…d03dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…148abacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6773…bddabacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…caffbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…c296backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…53d3backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…57b8backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d3…623abacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e102backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…a910backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d38…cdebbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…48d6backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…3ed4backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…fad0backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…35dfbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…0365backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…5739backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cde…4f84backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…2d72backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…11f2backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…c581backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…31dcbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…b57bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…a35abacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…e090backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.