NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0139a4fcd411e9803771b5bb9e6ad431f3380cd8bb3d02ed4cd155a340cb1d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 37,569$19,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,558.15 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 48c | 15,520$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.4 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 4,470$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.4 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 4,181$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.32 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 3,729$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.57 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,186$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,383$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.02 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 997.91$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.33 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 894$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.88 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 664.34$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.46 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 54c | 588.26$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 495$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 440.18$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.7 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…fb0cbacked Under | 48c | 304.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 292.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…4f5ebacked Over | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 53c | 187.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Over | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 150.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 146$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 146$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 145.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 48c | 101.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 48c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Under | 47c | 62.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 55.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 48c | 44.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 53c | 36.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. Maple LeafsCanadiens won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.