TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Mavericks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7a5…3ec1backed Pelicans51c12,611$6,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,179.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ff…1e37backed Mavericks49c12,609$6,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,178.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans55c3,637$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.3176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks46c3,394$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks45c2,252$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.472,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Pelicans53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.2538046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pelicans55c1,822$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.921852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Mavericks46c1,239$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Pelicans55c1,211$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9123550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks47c1,191$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.771,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pelicans53c1,188$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.3541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90d…316abacked Mavericks50c1,075$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans52c1,062$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.2921152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Mavericks3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Mavericks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks47c958.49$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans52c616.67$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Mavericks48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans54c399.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18428751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Mavericks50c397.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9915950.3%80 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks45c381.61$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.731,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks46c353$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans51c305.66$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.772,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Mavericks4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks47c288.64$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.661,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Pelicans53c248$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.566952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Pelicans55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9954838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9936854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Mavericks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…5714backed Pelicans54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Pelicans59c199.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8218556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Mavericks47c194.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3415855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Pelicans53c189.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2521164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9aef…dc0fbacked Pelicans53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Pelicans54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1910044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks53c160.59$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Mavericks50c145.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6911840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Pelicans53c126$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.227441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mavericks48c124.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5285449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Pelicans53c123$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.818749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks49c121.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.713,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Pelicans56c107.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5333246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Pelicans53c104$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.889048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Pelicans53c103$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.418644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Pelicans35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6516547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Pelicans55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Mavericks49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Mavericks47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4737357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Mavericks48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811346%52 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Pelicans54c96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.165058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Pelicans53c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.654957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Pelicans54c93.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Pelicans54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7816547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Pelicans55c92.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7312454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Pelicans53c89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.836154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Pelicans53c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.547648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Mavericks47c81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.075843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks49c79.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Mavericks46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Pelicans55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2723651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a5…83f1backed Pelicans54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Mavericks47c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.262343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Pelicans53c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.794461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Pelicans53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.323145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Pelicans55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5513651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5551651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Mavericks47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans77c51.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Mavericks46c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.692944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Pelicans30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Pelicans53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Pelicans51c49.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4918549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Mavericks41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013834.1%47 W · 91 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Pelicans49c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Pelicans53c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.626839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Pelicans54c44.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4414751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Mavericks46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Mavericks46c42.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3911651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Mavericks46c41.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.969345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Mavericks47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.272339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Mavericks47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.272437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab95…90b1backed Mavericks48c40.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb308…19debacked Mavericks48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Pelicans50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a18bbacked Pelicans54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f4c…267bbacked Pelicans54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe920…adb4backed Pelicans54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1b…aa92backed Pelicans54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7c…36a7backed Mavericks47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00fd…001fbacked Mavericks47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f86…b4d4backed Mavericks47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Mavericks50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ef…edecbacked Pelicans54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c63…0090backed Mavericks47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69b…4955backed Mavericks47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Mavericks47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.333647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Pelicans53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.393658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.