NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a437cb6a2999c2e3ff930b3bd3f209349b0e57cc81b7aadad93a097f50b611f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Mavericks, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a5…3ec1backed Pelicans | 51c | 12,611$6,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed Mavericks | 49c | 12,609$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans | 55c | 3,637$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.31 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 46c | 3,394$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 45c | 2,252$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.47 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.25 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 1,822$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.9 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,239$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.79 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Pelicans | 55c | 1,211$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.91 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,188$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.35 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…316abacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,075$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,062$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.29 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Mavericks | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 958.49$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 52c | 616.67$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Mavericks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Pelicans | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Mavericks | 50c | 397.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks | 45c | 381.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 46c | 353$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 51c | 305.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Mavericks | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 47c | 288.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Pelicans | 53c | 248$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Pelicans | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…5714backed Pelicans | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Pelicans | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 194.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Pelicans | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…dc0fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Pelicans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 53c | 160.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Mavericks | 50c | 145.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Pelicans | 53c | 126$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 124.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Pelicans | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 49c | 121.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Pelicans | 56c | 107.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Pelicans | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Pelicans | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Pelicans | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Pelicans | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Pelicans | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Pelicans | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Pelicans | 54c | 93.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Pelicans | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Pelicans | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Pelicans | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Mavericks | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 49c | 79.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Mavericks | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Pelicans | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…83f1backed Pelicans | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Mavericks | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Pelicans | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Pelicans | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Pelicans | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Mavericks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 77c | 51.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Pelicans | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Pelicans | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Mavericks | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Pelicans | 49c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Pelicans | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Pelicans | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Mavericks | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Mavericks | 46c | 42.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Mavericks | 46c | 41.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Mavericks | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Mavericks | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…90b1backed Mavericks | 48c | 40.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…19debacked Mavericks | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Pelicans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a18bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4c…267bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…adb4backed Pelicans | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1b…aa92backed Pelicans | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…36a7backed Mavericks | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…001fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f86…b4d4backed Mavericks | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…edecbacked Pelicans | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…0090backed Mavericks | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…4955backed Mavericks | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Mavericks | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Pelicans | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.