NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192fe91a67fe8b7be29baa9e8e8cecef5a80b5d07292c2f8547bb26061960d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 9,585$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.5 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 4,692$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…9bd5backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under | 44c | 1,816$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.8 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 1,060$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 807$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.86 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 49c | 659.18$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.18 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 589.65$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 43c | 515.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.89 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 384.48$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 368.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.42 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 57c | 357$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 335.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 290.75$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 139.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…ceb6backed Over | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 106.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 82.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 71.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 65.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 37c | 65.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 64.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…5713backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 54c | 56.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…31f1backed Under | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 54c | 52.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 59c | 49.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 46c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 43c | 26.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 56c | 26.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5this page
- Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.