TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over50c100,000$49,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,975.9420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under50c59,345$29,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,672.5113248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under50c56,852$28,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,621.2420352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f6…cf62backed Over51c22,268$11,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,356.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c7,087$3,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c5,020$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.182,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.989451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c4,575$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under49c3,837$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.8450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Over54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8817441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5731…3ecfbacked Over45c1,800$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160e…1688backed Under55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under46c902.17$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.1721355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c844$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42448957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41649142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbda…5a5ebacked Over52c742.31$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38660%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be8…c29bbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.153348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over54c302$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.081,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c295.2$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.652,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd0…0f46backed Over54c237.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7724556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea27…19c6backed Under54c210.76$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.954057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c188.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.63,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over54c185.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under55c128.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5819547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under55c116$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.25058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under55c114$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.33458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c109.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.94358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c8…c635backed Over51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c7…d6b4backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.956855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.58759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ceb…5519backed Under54c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under47c88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.648752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under46c83.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under53c82.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0113652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under48c70.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.915450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.256053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Under55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.254261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.927451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ab…70cdbacked Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.510550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over46c59.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under50c57.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5620456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.642,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under48c53.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.361,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under48c50.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0952643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under46c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9918549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over48c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec94…931ebacked Under47c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.38944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26c…b613backed Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.663234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over46c38.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8637352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over47c38.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1210234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c37.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…9fcabacked Over45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Under50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under55c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.855141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.954052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.439048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Over45c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.054052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2949…76bcbacked Over45c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.052445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb676…48c7backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.154047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Over45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30e3…b595backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Over53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over53c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.725850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.