TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x724b…e780backed Under52c4,263$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d4…e1d2backed Under53c2,915$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c2,781$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe8…d9cfbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfc…bbddbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd84…4e3ebacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83c…2d88backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…fa54backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd150…6163backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226a…40c9backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c9…91e0backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f6…eca8backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd82…1ff0backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dbe…5117backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a7…8b12backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a08…59ebbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3671backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…382abacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67c…4f04backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…d502backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…1f43backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x905a…f33cbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a95…13f0backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2881…9708backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206f…a085backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1743…6467backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0f…d22abacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f36…a0a2backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ead…4525backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…a841backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656b…2c5cbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f1…01ffbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90e…b75bbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…5f1abacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…dc62backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9636…cd18backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…a0d8backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ab…607cbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…7d65backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f57…b01dbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fce…8ff7backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab99…ed58backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…1cdbbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x072e…f5d8backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa944…931fbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcd…b979backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb384…24ddbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0913…9eebbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b9…7349backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…13dfbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419d…9dd2backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a9…cde6backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b8…5484backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e5…3e25backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fff…e5f9backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f7…ec13backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3559…275abacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2d…85a1backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…3511backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e1…7deebacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…f6cebacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e8…3e9bbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…ff75backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4907…3623backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa350…79eabacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6730…3b3dbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a23…84d2backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562d…15b6backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x286e…52a5backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe783…f2c1backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56e…1456backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0027…a3d2backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…b806backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb8…dfe4backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f4e…59cdbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98c7…533cbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f04…429fbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3669…cd5ebacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a4…bfeabacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46d…d28cbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9984…d354backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ab…506abacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc2…bacebacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0acf…cbf4backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1e…517abacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…c306backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x695b…280bbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8fb…850dbacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…f687backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e9…8e1dbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9537…f298backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dda…0ac2backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67fa…6390backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…b0a7backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xace1…28e7backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1318…955ebacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf895…8125backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x708d…f75dbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f3…e84cbacked Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.