NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf583ab566ee7e5ef45dcd05ba27064961c5981bc89d95d26d9d4689f96b3e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Canadiens, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,304,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,310,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,304,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 46c | 210,486$96,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,051.03 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Penguins | 50c | 134,603$67,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,688.36 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Penguins | 51c | 76,702$38,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,891.68 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 66c | 37,000$24,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,580.09 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canadiens | 49c | 33,189$16,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,262.57 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Penguins | 50c | 23,070$11,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,535 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 49c | 21,319$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,872.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Penguins | 51c | 15,977$8,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.93 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Penguins | 66c | 15,757$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.36 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Penguins | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.78 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Penguins | 51c | 13,983$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.92 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 50c | 13,533$6,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,730.52 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 50c | 12,608$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Canadiens | 52c | 12,563$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,557.66 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Canadiens | 50c | 10,595$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.31 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Penguins | 50c | 8,865$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 50c | 8,752$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.8 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Penguins | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Penguins | 48c | 7,670$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Penguins | 50c | 7,640$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Penguins | 50c | 7,200$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 49c | 7,112$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.68 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Penguins | 48c | 7,004$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.87 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Penguins | 72c | 7,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Penguins | 50c | 6,947$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.43 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 50c | 6,870$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.18 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Penguins | 53c | 6,581$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.27 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Canadiens | 44c | 6,263$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.45 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canadiens | 49c | 6,100$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…3423backed Canadiens | 51c | 6,000$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Canadiens | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens | 51c | 5,913$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.63 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Penguins | 51c | 5,642$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.37 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…6179backed Penguins | 51c | 5,161$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…84f0backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,010$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canadiens | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…b650backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,985$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…a99ebacked Penguins | 51c | 4,837$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Penguins | 51c | 4,835$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.15 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Penguins | 50c | 4,759$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.68 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 48c | 4,622$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.27 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…f4febacked Canadiens | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…c3abbacked Penguins | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 48c | 4,054$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.42 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…65bebacked Penguins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…5998backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6b32backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 41c | 3,645$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.05 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 50c | 3,578$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.76 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Penguins | 73c | 3,368$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…163cbacked Canadiens | 51c | 3,340$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Penguins | 51c | 3,260$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Penguins | 69c | 3,087$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.34 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Canadiens | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed Penguins | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Canadiens | 34c | 2,937$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 50c | 2,722$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b76…adb3backed Penguins | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Penguins | 51c | 2,544$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.7 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,450$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…0773backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,396$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f5…8adfbacked Penguins | 50c | 2,382$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…b290backed Penguins | 50c | 2,380$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…9c5abacked Penguins | 50c | 2,380$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509e…f531backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,375$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…84a5backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,363$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…d83dbacked Canadiens | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…7e75backed Penguins | 50c | 2,340$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Penguins | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Canadiens | 4c | 2,300$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canadiens | 27c | 2,293$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.23 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 57c | 2,234$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.23 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 57c | 2,149$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.4 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…e6eebacked Canadiens | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Penguins | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.71 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…875ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,959$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…7382backed Penguins | 51c | 1,942$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,910$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,866$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.47 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Penguins | 50c | 1,806$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.49 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 50c | 1,792$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Penguins | 49c | 1,699$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.04 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Penguins | 49c | 1,594$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.61 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,511$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.93 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…86bdbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b4…19b6backed Penguins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…b46bbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…b387backed Penguins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…25fcbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…8a37backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Penguinsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.