Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1392a0dd4da8dbec37216a059eaaa3dd6558f492a034947f4c60cffb01c24e58

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,120 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	15,818$8,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,338.94	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under	75c	7,300$5,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,835.85	46	71.7%33 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	75cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	43c	5,623$2,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,177.63	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	66c	5,318$3,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,797.41	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over	37c	4,708$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.01	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over	60c	4,500$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf816…3578backed Over	58c	3,399$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.89	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	38c	2,633$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…9133backed Over	50c	2,276$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.45	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	25c	2,249$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.17	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over	38c	2,005$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over	37c	2,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bf…2c66backed Under	43c	2,000$869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.53	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Over	47c	1,653$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.83	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	36c	1,500$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	71c	1,364$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.06	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Over	70c	1,363$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.97	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x342c…22febacked Over	68c	1,360$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.79	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.5wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under	79c	1,354$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.73	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under	77c	1,147$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.75	157	72%113 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under	54c	1,042$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.51	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	50c	1,027$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.1	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	39c	769.23$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	49c	687.24$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.72	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	32c	600$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…217fbacked Over	23c	539.93$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.98	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	38c	539$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.49	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Over	39c	535.74$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over	37c	499.95$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.48	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over	38c	460.03$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.81	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	61c	443.79$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.08	215	48.8%105 W · 110 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over	47c	425$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.75	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Over	32c	418.75$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Over	38c	398.29$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ce…07adbacked Over	46c	373.78$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.94	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over	61c	350$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.5	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	30c	334$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Over	48c	319.17$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-43%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	61c	300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	137	60.6%83 W · 54 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	45c	261.99$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.07	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	72c	254.17$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	63c	250$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under	58c	248.5$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.37	43	67.4%29 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over	48c	208.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over	49c	204.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca6…0d08backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under	63c	193.65$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.65	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over	46c	190.6$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.68	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	37c	165.09$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.08	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18d…bc16backed Over	43c	161.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.31per pick	57cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Under	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	172	54.1%93 W · 79 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over	39c	150$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	54c	148.54$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	51c	142.59$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.48	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Over	71c	142.25$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b34…633cbacked Over	53c	141.51$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over	38c	132.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	39c	120.77$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over	39c	120.51$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	181	24.9%45 W · 136 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	61c	120$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.8	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over	38c	119.05$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.24	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b2…918abacked Under	62c	112$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under	62c	111.29$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.29	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Over	39c	107.38$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.88	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6c…0b29backed Under	63c	104.29$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.59	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over	28c	104$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	220	40.5%89 W · 131 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	35c	101.08$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-11.4wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Over	36c	99.97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over	41c	98.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	14c	95.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	58c	95$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	65c	95$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.3	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over	38c	92.11$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Under	47c	84$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-5.0wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Under	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under	64c	80$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	38c	76$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over	48c	73.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Under	64c	72.55$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.12	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c3…cc88backed Under	63c	71.87$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Over	39c	70.18$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Under	55c	61.69$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.55	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x630e…bbd7backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd06…cb1cbacked Over	36c	58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5this page
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event