TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No44c9,737$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.166,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes56c5,790$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c3,693$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.641,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.813231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No37c1,532$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.671,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9760728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes62c1,322$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.3210051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c883.22$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.734,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes61c737.7$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.730050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89bc…c6a5backed Yes64c710.94$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes63c629$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.731241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No37c627.13$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.311,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No36c610.76$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5429427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No36c571.37$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4121353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes38c521.8$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18039156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No36c477.97$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No35c444$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.421548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes65c430.77$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7713552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1724…fc81backed Yes62c379.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.391540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes64c368.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.749549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes62c305.53$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.14040%16 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Yes64c237.68$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes41c209.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6814138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339043.3%39 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes63c158.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.827358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes78c157.37$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.164959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b34…633cbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8516160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7e…b762backed Yes63c138.75$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.34742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes65c130$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.55657.1%32 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No36c125.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6722040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4227752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes62c115.83$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5689152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.117742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes64c108.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.098332.5%27 W · 56 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6918124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7b…8e33backed Yes64c100.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…55b0backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.362378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Yes65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.315549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes64c92.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.181353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes41c85.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.912136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ca…1d63backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No37c81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.974445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes64c78.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.929050%45 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes65c71.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.012941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes64c66.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.18763.2%55 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.752842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc30e…1ceabacked Yes64c62.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes65c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.66145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4b…846cbacked Yes64c59.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Yes41c58.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.714847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e00…1a29backed Yes64c56.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.252360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Yes64c55.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.989542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes63c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.512047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454f…bb79backed Yes63c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52564%16 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8813346.6%62 W · 71 L-15.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dfa…0c5cbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf23c…555dbacked Yes65c43.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.012948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes63c41.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2712948.1%62 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x458d…77abbacked Yes64c41.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a94…89d7backed Yes51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes62c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.210569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed No38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes64c37.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2510757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Yes63c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.692166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x832d…0997backed Yes47c36.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Yes63c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.322254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143868.4%26 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8812342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef69…cdbdbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af9…7ce4backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.256354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3802…d623backed Yes65c30.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x892f…4d5cbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No46c30.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9325949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…349cbacked Yes55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Yes64c28.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.133158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked Yes64c26.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.562958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Yes64c26.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…9d38backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.