Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbfba4ead2c8cb60b855b29081ff3cf506aa20b29ec59df1707e9b1790168aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 9,737$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 56c | 5,790$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 3,693$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.81 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 1,532$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.67 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,322$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.32 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 883.22$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…c6a5backed Yes | 64c | 710.94$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 63c | 629$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 627.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 36c | 610.76$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.54 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 36c | 571.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.41 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 38c | 521.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 36c | 477.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 35c | 444$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 65c | 430.77$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Yes | 62c | 379.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 64c | 368.73$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 62c | 305.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Yes | 64c | 237.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 41c | 209.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 63c | 158.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 78c | 157.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b34…633cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…b762backed Yes | 63c | 138.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 36c | 125.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 62c | 115.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes | 64c | 108.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…8e33backed Yes | 64c | 100.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…55b0backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 64c | 92.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 41c | 85.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 64c | 78.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes | 65c | 71.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 64c | 66.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…1ceabacked Yes | 64c | 62.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…846cbacked Yes | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Yes | 41c | 58.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…1a29backed Yes | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 64c | 55.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…0c5cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…555dbacked Yes | 65c | 43.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…77abbacked Yes | 64c | 41.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a94…89d7backed Yes | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 64c | 37.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Yes | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…0997backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Yes | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…cdbdbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…7ce4backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Yes | 65c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…4d5cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 46c | 30.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…9d38backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.