Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5e21d4f5c31ba96213f88a1269c77d75a897c07eb41e5bc92b2eb28e951dcc

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $259,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $319,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over	59c	83,450$49,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,089.82	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	50,810$23,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,735.05	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	41c	28,519$11,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,687.65	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	46c	20,770$9,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,618.68	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over	60c	17,519$10,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,007.66	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	41c	16,762$6,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,818.91	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	60c	13,116$7,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,259.71	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	31c	9,126$2,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,253.1	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	43c	8,620$3,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,742.33	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	59c	6,444$3,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,642.04	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Over	34c	5,625$1,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,687.59	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	40c	5,297$2,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,118.95	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over	60c	4,500$2,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800.67	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over	57c	4,433$2,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,922.72	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	50c	3,999$2,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,979.51	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	40c	3,586$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.51	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	59c	3,427$2,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,405.07	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under	38c	2,756$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.34	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over	61c	2,058$1,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.62	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1702…4666backed Under	39c	2,051$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.13	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under	40c	1,697$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.44	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	60c	1,667$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.67	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf816…3578backed Over	60c	1,667$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.67	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	41c	1,493$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.09	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under	41c	1,400$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.66	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe85e…0f89backed Under	72c	1,387$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.96	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	58c	1,353$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.18	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Under	40c	1,333$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	47c	1,170$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.21	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over	58c	1,143$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.92	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Under	42c	1,143$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.92	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over	62c	1,129$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.03	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	40c	1,111$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.07	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Over	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2eb…9b76backed Under	40c	999.93$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	80c	981.89$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.38	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Over	59c	847$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.27	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	62c	807.01$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.01	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	41c	800$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under	36c	794.62$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.96	121	36.4%44 W · 77 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under	41c	749.59$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.33	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	34c	735.29$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.29	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over	61c	569.46$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.67	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	40c	498$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.2	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	62c	485.74$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.74	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Over	53c	472$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over	44c	426.47$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.97	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	292	59.2%173 W · 119 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over	52c	399.99$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	28c	396$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.28	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over	60c	335.52$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.52	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	134	39.6%53 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under	40c	325$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	62c	322.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.82	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	218	39.4%86 W · 132 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under	69c	289.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…e8a8backed Over	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	41c	249.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	40c	244.92$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.43	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over	62c	241.94$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over	65c	240.84$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.12	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	41c	240$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	41c	240$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	42c	230.95$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Under	50c	222$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	28c	214.29$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.29	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Under	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over	72c	195.44$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.44	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f5backed Over	31c	181.72$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.86	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	41c	180$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	375	54.9%206 W · 169 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	41c	180$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over	60c	175$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over	60c	166$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.4	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-11.4wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Over	49c	163.27$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.27	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under	48c	154.77$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.97	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Under	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	57%61 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over	61c	131.72$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.72	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	322	55.9%180 W · 142 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	305	54.8%167 W · 138 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	254	56.3%143 W · 111 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under	41c	120$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	350	56.9%199 W · 151 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event