Champions League · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283f363147eec5539c50922e00b75f9d65ec3ed4d41046450f10bb27edbe1e3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x430e…51f0backed Over | 73c | 75,000$54,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,040.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 57,730$15,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,354.5 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 30c | 10,090$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 5,721$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.02 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 27c | 5,625$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.75 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 68c | 5,593$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.21 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 3,620$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.99 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 30c | 3,006$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 970.59$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 28c | 600.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 29c | 525.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…e28ebacked Over | 69c | 479.28$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 26c | 469.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 74c | 407.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Under | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 74c | 237.21$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 73c | 200.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 70c | 171.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…c3b0backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…1d12backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 30c | 125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Over | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 29c | 107.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked Over | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…cb1cbacked Under | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…25e3backed Under | 30c | 50.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 70c | 50.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…d4c9backed Under | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b05…c123backed Under | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…f826backed Over | 72c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 72c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…a2c5backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.