TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c65,906$32,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,952.823951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c14,002$7,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0013839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over50c10,100$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,050.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c3…b6c8backed Over49c10,020$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,110.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2b…7246backed Under51c10,020$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,110.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf59…7c74backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…b256backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b5…8447backed Over50c9,952$4,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…0c2ebacked Over50c6,186$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c5,846$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.021,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c5,607$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c65…81d2backed Over50c5,180$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5903100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcdb…461abacked Over49c4,449$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.941040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…30d2backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c3,862$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.1258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Under49c3,348$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over48c2,494$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.821513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over79c2,166$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.461241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90015657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Over49c1,630$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.33542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9924327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over47c777$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.819444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under36c690.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over49c616.98$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-59.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c573.63$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Under50c570$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.74746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under49c550$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.53930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c489.66$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.022744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over49c486$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22218950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over51c430.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.586830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over48c418$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.363740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.673050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c389.17$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over79c374.78$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.429762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over46c371.89$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.829348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c364$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4421354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under52c348.83$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1710744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c316$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3214447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under51c295.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc3…0956backed Over50c290.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over49c282$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4228357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c264$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7738356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Under55c236$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Over60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.333933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a04…d57dbacked Over71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over49c199.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.474535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c198.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4317855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c182$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2217251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c182$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2216753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…520cbacked Over50c177$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over49c163.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3315236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Over47c158.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.652128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over59c136.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.985545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under53c130.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.744744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c123.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over49c121$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1111947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.813352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.813548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.815651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.813751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.814247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.816251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5812…3e4ebacked Over50c118$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed Under51c116.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c115.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.811,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de5…a510backed Over51c114$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under50c107$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1613252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1618754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over48c82.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1612748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under20c80.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.033112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over75c64.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.122356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9718…9546backed Over47c62.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under51c61.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.558555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under51c60.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.166238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefdd…217fbacked Over40c58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4553…2065backed Over49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.