TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes37c35,000$12,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,95017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c27,301$21,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.081,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No63c20,185$12,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,468.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c16,779$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,076.374,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes8c16,224$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.884922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96035442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9608142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61f…e954backed Yes37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fde…899dbacked No63c3,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes13c3,334$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.0814067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5921…55dfbacked No64c1,594$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02df…b57ebacked No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No64c1,562$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.539347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffab…fe1dbacked No65c1,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes36c1,265$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.932317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes35c1,133$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes35c1,096$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5828055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes12c997.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.712626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No75c934.94$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.93360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c842.47$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes25c653.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No63c649.98$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.494047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes21c628.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c582.96$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes31c451.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-83%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No63c442.09$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.361866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes12c417.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.728125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6520…315cbacked Yes37c415.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.821520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14414348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.632470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes28c376.47$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c352.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.893,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes24c322.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7826241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No64c317.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.192673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ab…5602backed No72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes33c300$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c284$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes36c273.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3816926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes36c268.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes37c254.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.244440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes37c246$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0214540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No62c242$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes17c236.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes36c208$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.344259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No63c202.63$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7015049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes36c193.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.719044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Yes37c178.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c166.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed No64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.632560%15 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.68961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No64c109.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.559554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c2…4fd5backed No78c105.07$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3205…d8ccbacked No66c101$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No64c99.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9911559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes36c94.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.753053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No64c91.13$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.472835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.376639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4cdd…3d13backed No64c79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes38c78.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.77631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…f598backed No66c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.96855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked No64c54.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.437255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…8765backed Yes36c52.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0102…8b43backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Yes36c46.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.894158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.886950.7%35 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3183…a303backed No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.459557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No63c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd06…cb1cbacked Yes37c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x206c…06b3backed Yes34c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcafd…ec29backed Yes37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes36c35.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.918564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes36c34.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.254557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.