TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07c8…2696backed Yes33c9,091$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,090.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c7,185$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.5169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No67c4,019$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.893360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c3,090$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.2850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c2,281$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.394,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed No38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7602665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.974266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.515446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c1,300$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No67c1,236$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.135151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…ef9fbacked Yes32c1,041$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed No40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004233.3%14 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Yes32c982$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c963$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…4bbcbacked Yes32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No58c885.23$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7622335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b12…c3c1backed No68c817$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Yes45c766.89$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked No33c670.27$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…cd65backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes64c584$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.515236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d00…45a4backed Yes32c567$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe04e…9e28backed No68c531$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fea…2370backed No69c513.04$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes32c425$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2893545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x148a…d483backed Yes32c424$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes31c407.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.57424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes49c400$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes32c319.84$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.491752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7a…b288backed No68c285$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed7a…4657backed No68c282$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No60c250$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.82853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No37c242.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb0…b502backed No68c224$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.592437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x56f9…8463backed No69c214.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.125940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No30c209.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No68c208.37$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.619044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No69c192.75$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a3…6448backed No68c183$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No28c178.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe73d…601abacked No69c171.01$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd564…4fd0backed No68c158$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.254422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.254634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b54…8d48backed No69c153.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.523053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ae…e344backed No69c149.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No33c145.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.728125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes33c136.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecda…4b56backed No68c94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes71c91.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7925248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No68c91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed No69c87.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes32c81.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.414166.7%94 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes32c74.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.614333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c70.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…ed46backed No68c64.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes32c64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.523336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54951%25 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.526645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes38c61.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4216962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.619338.7%36 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c58.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.951838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff6a…881cbacked No38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes59c52.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No67c51.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.559250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0102…8b43backed Yes31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.26855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes32c47.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.32653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No68c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9228558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5519652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No68c40.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.824158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…8765backed Yes33c40.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.84333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked No46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes33c36.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.363562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf4a…fdd5backed Yes32c35.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.371283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed No68c35.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242875%21 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Yes33c35.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No68c34.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.554259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…a8acbacked No69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No67c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4312147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe6…d729backed Yes50c27.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.79955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No67c25.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe176…9d7cbacked Yes63c22.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf666…656cbacked No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…0061backed No69c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.