TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Mallorca win on 2025-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes8c10,297$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.734922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c9,313$6,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.874,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c9,042$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.7330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c7,871$6,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.341,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c2,963$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No67c2,597$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.893360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c2,375$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.3490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes34c2,215$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c2,050$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8415516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No79c2,040$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe89a…f5f9backed Yes29c1,950$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c1,573$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.3153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No68c1,176$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.961764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Yes32c1,130$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes32c1,077$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No72c1,058$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No66c1,048$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.312648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Yes31c981.98$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes29c896.07$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8621641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes15c737$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5513824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked No68c735$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2172955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes28c673.18$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes32c665.63$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21311137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No68c653.86$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2435442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No68c618.5$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.922748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes28c593.25$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.11128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-83%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes16c586.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9426242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes27c581.48$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1572934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes34c580.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c496.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No66c483.42$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3617252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes27c478.13$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes33c411.85$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.916728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes32c396.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes17c370.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No75c361.31$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.825248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes16c357.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No76c338.04$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c317.1$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c4f…47a4backed Yes32c314.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No66c303$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No67c296.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.354259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No74c273.39$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.087363%46 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes16c256.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes32c252.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.44540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No66c244.94$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No78c238.02$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.47443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes30c233.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes10c220.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No67c205.06$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.097851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes32c183$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.297653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes32c181.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9814233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No80c163.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.748125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426e…acd0backed Yes33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes32c157.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.52222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes19c156.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e5…deb8backed Yes32c156.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes31c151.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cc6…8e7bbacked Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No66c149.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.935427.8%15 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Yes34c123.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.142142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c121$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes34c113.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.512540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes31c107.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.615133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No68c103.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.288961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No73c101$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0102…8b43backed No66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes30c99.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+97.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Yes12c98.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8750%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No67c93.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.624158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8c…5ae2backed Yes21c92.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308040%32 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No66c89.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.