Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7fbb0230dab4d8bc3ef48979d853ffbc098b9b198591082663fd892a03cd52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 44c | 40,250$17,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,539.66 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 53c | 22,413$11,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,967.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 20,178$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,130.52 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 73c | 18,261$13,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,361.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 57c | 14,857$8,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,468.22 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 50c | 10,947$5,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.21 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 7,967$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.04 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 44c | 5,694$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 60c | 5,422$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 59c | 5,087$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 66c | 4,327$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.31 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 43c | 3,917$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.89 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 49c | 3,686$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.58 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 57c | 2,800$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,146$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.73 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 74c | 2,021$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.96 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 60c | 1,489$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…8289backed Yes | 53c | 1,335$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 8c | 1,287$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.83 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 57c | 1,190$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 1,161$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.3 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 56c | 1,022$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 44c | 982.02$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.09 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 33c | 914.04$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.57 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 49c | 848.51$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 48c | 827.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 58c | 788.94$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…fa26backed No | 41c | 749.95$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 53c | 737.8$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 60c | 724.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 56c | 713.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 52c | 676.56$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.7 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes | 10c | 600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 56c | 588.62$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 52c | 572.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed No | 28c | 542.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 8c | 510.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 80c | 457$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.42 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…01aebacked Yes | 49c | 450.35$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 42c | 419.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…ce33backed Yes | 48c | 417.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7bddbacked Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 48c | 390.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 58c | 388.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 57c | 378.6$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 55c | 364.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 59c | 355.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…3b65backed Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…1eb0backed Yes | 4c | 332.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 57c | 320$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 56c | 315.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 311.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Yes | 48c | 306.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 41c | 301.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…0723backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 44c | 296.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.51 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 62c | 290.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Yes | 56c | 290$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 54c | 275.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 42c | 261.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 55c | 252.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed No | 43c | 235.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 43c | 233.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Yes | 52c | 231.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 44c | 229.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 69c | 226.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 224.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 52c | 221.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Yes | 66c | 214.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…01f5backed Yes | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 56c | 211.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 26c | 208$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 56c | 202.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 51c | 194.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 59c | 186.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…d015backed Yes | 59c | 181.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?this page
- Will Mali vs. Zambia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Zambia win on 2025-12-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.