TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mali vs. Zambia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes13c5,700$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9591566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4209636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,981$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.2130031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No3c1,624$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5516833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No20c1,273$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.62,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,195$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.6176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c1,082$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.441,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,050$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.52934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes26c809.64$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.246432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No52c660$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.318641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes16c585$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2525954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes41c554.58$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.23060%18 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Yes36c531.88$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes36c477.34$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0712441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No59c422.03$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2495158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9cd…453cbacked Yes45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c396.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c348.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.525230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes31c341.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.258165.4%53 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No64c304$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…0723backed Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Yes7c292.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No57c255$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8122656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes48c210.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.391764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147142.3%30 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…f34ebacked Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Yes28c175$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c163.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Yes27c149$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed No72c137.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.762441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes28c123$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.561080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes42c109.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.522748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Yes27c104$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee9…69a0backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…39c7backed Yes42c95.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes27c88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.241030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes29c86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.062544%11 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Yes27c82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13cc…7ff2backed No59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked No72c75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ec…1563backed No72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked No59c52.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed No71c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed No73c46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed No72c45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked No72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+82.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes50c39.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9220856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Yes28c37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+86.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed No73c37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked No72c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb82…9c54backed No72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed No73c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed No73c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes31c32.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.194369.8%30 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes42c30.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Yes35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed No72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…83b1backed Yes48c29.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed No73c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.17366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.167350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked No72c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked No73c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc52…fcc3backed No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked No72c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed No73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes76c25.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.143,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17d…d067backed No73c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked No73c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed No72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked No73c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed No73c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed No73c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No67c22.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.376253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed No72c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked No73c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed No73c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed No73c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed No73c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed No73c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed No73c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed No72c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed No72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…f4d3backed No73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9530%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed No72c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.