La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5e62885d4ce0db9d03b52c5470f709e6cba5553961c40f23a17a6d9b3e0c91e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 1,771$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.65 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 1,420$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,045$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 220.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 220.71$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 34c | 147.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 32c | 146$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 47c | 141.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 120.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 70c | 77.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…dca3backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0350…f978backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 30c | 49.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…cb1cbacked Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 24.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.