La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae9969e80eb4aa5c13fe250f71b3dd6b10851df22ac20a1fcc0106e15fd3042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 31c | 25,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,750 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 62c | 12,494$7,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.9 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 77c | 11,061$8,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.97 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 2c | 8,722$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 3,395$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 2c | 1,747$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 33c | 1,198$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 675.87$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 22c | 673.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 75c | 470.05$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 36c | 400.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9562backed No | 66c | 307.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 79c | 303.2$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 33c | 241$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 33c | 112$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 35c | 103$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 42c | 100.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 68c | 91.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 81.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 33c | 81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Yes | 33c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…ca76backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0350…f978backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 39c | 30.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 26.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…f80fbacked Yes | 65c | 23.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.